Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 32-34-14
2–6
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 38-38-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
062607219
FLA
2817310625
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
TOR 32-34-14 · FLA 38-38-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Panthers
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.6 to 1.6 expected goals) — and lost 2–6. Joseph Woll allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.6, on 19 and 25 shots on goal.
TOR 3.6 xG · 19 shots
FLA 1.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.6
3rd
1.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Eetu Luostarinen · 1st 00:23 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Cole Reinhardt · 1st 05:32 · 0–2 · backhand shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Tomas Nosek · 2nd 01:32 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 10:55 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (63%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 13:16 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (47%)
6
Mackie Samoskevich · 3rd 04:13 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
A.J. Greer · 3rd 15:56 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Tomas Nosek · 3rd 18:07 · 2–6 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 81.
TOR 81%FLA 19%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 2 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Eetu Luostarinen · 1st 00:23 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Cole Reinhardt · 1st 05:32 · 0–2
Backhand shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Tomas Nosek · 2nd 01:32 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 10:55 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (63%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 13:16 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (47%)
6
Mackie Samoskevich · 3rd 04:13 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
A.J. Greer · 3rd 15:56 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Tomas Nosek · 3rd 18:07 · EN · 2–6
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Donovan Sebrango, Vinnie Hinostroza · backhand shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–2
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
05:32
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:34
· High-sticking
Nylander scored on this power play
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Maple Leafs went 1-for-1 on the power play and killed all 1 Panthers power play.