Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 32-35-14
5–6
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 49-20-12
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
3908210527
DAL
0731739633
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
TOR 32-35-14 · DAL 49-20-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Stars
The Maple Leafs let a 3–0 lead get away: the Stars came back with 6 unanswered goals — Hyry's equalizer — and won 5–6. Casey DeSmith allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.3, on 32 and 27 shots on goal.
TOR 2.3 xG · 27 shots
DAL 3.8 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 2.0
3rd
0.8 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 02:14 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
· 1st 14:35 · 2–0 · deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 1st 15:51 · 3–0 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
4
Mavrik Bourque · 2nd 00:52 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Mavrik Bourque · 2nd 05:31 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
6
Jason Robertson · 2nd 09:29 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Max Domi · 3rd 01:40 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Nick Robertson · 3rd 04:19 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 08:18 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
10
Arttu Hyry · 3rd 09:38 · 5–5
11
Mavrik Bourque · 3rd 14:52 · 5–6 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 27.
TOR 27%DAL 73%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 02:14 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
· 1st 14:35 · 2–0
Deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 1st 15:51 · 3–0
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
4
Mavrik Bourque · 2nd 00:52 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Mavrik Bourque · 2nd 05:31 · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
6
Jason Robertson · 2nd 09:29 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Max Domi · 3rd 01:40 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Nick Robertson · 3rd 04:19 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 08:18 · PP · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
10
Arttu Hyry · 3rd 09:38 · 5–5
11
Mavrik Bourque · 3rd 14:52 · GWG · 5–6
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:09
Arttu Hyry· High-sticking
Tavares scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:45
Morgan Rielly· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:39
Jamie Benn· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:01
· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:37
Steven Lorentz· Holding
Johnston scored on this power play
Minor
9
Mikko Rantanen, Thomas Harley · Power play (Lorentz, holding) · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5–4
Goaltending
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 4.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Artur Akhtyamov
TOR
−0.1
vs expected
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Maple Leafs went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Stars power plays.