Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 25-32-5
4–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 38-17-8
1ST2ND3RDT
VAN
0511138424
TOR
01409114137
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
VAN 25-32-5 · TOR 38-17-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canucks beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.9 expected goals); the Canucks won 4–1. Thatcher Demko stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.9, on 24 and 37 shots on goal.
VAN 2.8 xG · 24 shots
TOR 2.9 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
2nd
1.7 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrei Kuzmenko · 2nd 17:51 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 3rd 01:32 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 06:49 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
J.T. Miller · 3rd 07:33 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Nils Aman · 3rd 12:34 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canucks win 48.
VAN 48%TOR 52%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrei Kuzmenko · 2nd 17:51 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 3rd 01:32 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 06:49 · SH · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
J.T. Miller · 3rd 07:33 · SH · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Nils Aman · 3rd 12:34 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/37 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.