Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 19-9-1
4–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 13-12-5
1ST2ND3RDT
VAN
1421414422
TBL
11105013129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
VAN 19-9-1 · TBL 13-12-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canucks beat the Lightning
The Canucks were outchanced (3.1 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Thatcher Demko stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 29 and 22 shots on goal.
VAN 2.0 xG · 22 shots
TBL 3.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 1.3
2nd
1.4 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 01:25 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Andrei Kuzmenko · 1st 06:08 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Brock Boeser · 2nd 09:29 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
4
Brock Boeser · 2nd 16:52 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Brock Boeser · 3rd 18:42 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canucks win 32.
VAN 32%TBL 68%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 01:25 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Andrei Kuzmenko · 1st 06:08 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Brock Boeser · 2nd 09:29 · GWG · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
4
Brock Boeser · 2nd 16:52 · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Brock Boeser · 3rd 18:42 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.