Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 38-16-7
3–4
Final / OTL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 27-21-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
VAN
2141120801335
PIT
0921211217440
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
VAN 38-16-7 · PIT 27-21-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canucks fell to the Penguins
The Canucks let a 2–0 lead get away: the Penguins came back with four unanswered goals — Eller's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Karlsson's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.9, on 35 and 40 shots on goal.
VAN 3.6 xG · 35 shots
PIT 3.9 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.0
2nd
1.3 · 1.4
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
OT
0.4 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nils Hoglander · 1st 10:23 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
2
Brock Boeser · 1st 17:43 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 02:13 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 09:36 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (25%)
5
J.T. Miller · 2nd 10:05 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Lars Eller · 3rd 09:45 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Erik Karlsson · OT 01:42 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canucks win 45.
VAN 45%PIT 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nils Hoglander · 1st 10:23 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
2
Brock Boeser · 1st 17:43 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 02:13 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 09:36 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (25%)
5
J.T. Miller · 2nd 10:05 · SH · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Lars Eller · 3rd 09:45 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Erik Karlsson · OT 01:42 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.