Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 7-4
3–2
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 6-4
1ST2ND3RDT
VAN
11111717335
EDM
2110408223
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Canucks lead the series 3–2
VAN 7-4 · EDM 6-4 · Game 5 — the Canucks lead the series 3–2
Canucks beat the Oilers
The Canucks earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.2, and a 3–2 win to show for it. Miller's winner came with 0:33 left. The Canucks owned the 2nd period, 1.8 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canucks created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 35 and 23 shots on goal.
VAN 3.5 xG · 35 shots
EDM 2.2 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.4
3rd
1.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evander Kane · 1st 04:34 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Carson Soucy · 1st 17:27 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Mattias Janmark · 1st 17:50 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
· 2nd 05:14 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
5
J.T. Miller · 3rd 19:27 · 3–2 · bat shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canucks win 71.
VAN 71%EDM 29%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evander Kane · 1st 04:34 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Carson Soucy · 1st 17:27 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Mattias Janmark · 1st 17:50 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
· 2nd 05:14 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
5
J.T. Miller · 3rd 19:27 · GWG · 3–2
Bat shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.