Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 8-3-3
3–1
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 8-6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
VAN
01221416332
CGY
1907013129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
VAN 8-3-3 · CGY 8-6-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Canucks beat the Flames
The Canucks earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.2, and a 3–1 win to show for it. Kevin Lankinen stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canucks created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.2, on 32 and 29 shots on goal.
VAN 3.1 xG · 32 shots
CGY 2.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Justin Kirkland · 1st 19:00 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Elias Pettersson · 2nd 00:23 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Pius Suter · 2nd 02:38 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Erik Brannstrom · 3rd 06:19 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canucks win 65.
VAN 65%CGY 35%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Justin Kirkland · 1st 19:00 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Elias Pettersson · 2nd 00:23 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Pius Suter · 2nd 02:38 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Erik Brannstrom · 3rd 06:19 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.