VGK
2–3
STL
Final · L
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 13-3-0
2–3
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 5-8-0
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
1618022236
STL
1421905328
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Golden Knights trail the season series 0–1
VGK 13-3-0 · STL 5-8-0 · First meeting this season — the Golden Knights trail the season series 0–1
Golden Knights fell to the Blues
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.8 expected goals); the Golden Knights lost 2–3. The Blues owned the 2nd period, 1.8 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 36 and 28 shots on goal.
VGK 2.5 xG · 36 shots
STL 2.8 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.8
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 09:47 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Reilly Smith · 1st 10:46 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Phil Kessel · 2nd 02:43 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 16:06 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 16:46 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 45.
VGK 45%STL 55%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Golden Knights shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 09:47 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Reilly Smith · 1st 10:46 · SH · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Phil Kessel · 2nd 02:43 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 16:06 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 16:46 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
