Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 22-11-1
2–3
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 16-14-2
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
010010223243
BUF
063705318
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
VGK 22-11-1 · BUF 16-14-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Golden Knights fell to the Sabres
The Golden Knights created the better chances (4.8 to 1.3 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 1.3, on 43 and 18 shots on goal.
VGK 4.8 xG · 43 shots
BUF 1.3 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 0.3
2nd
1.0 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
2.3 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 2nd 01:53 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 2nd 07:15 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Lawrence Pilut · 2nd 13:28 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Chandler Stephenson · 3rd 03:54 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Reilly Smith · 3rd 17:38 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 93.
VGK 93%BUF 7%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 2nd 01:53 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 2nd 07:15 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Lawrence Pilut · 2nd 13:28 · GWG · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Chandler Stephenson · 3rd 03:54 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Reilly Smith · 3rd 17:38 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
5
Alex Pietrangelo, William Karlsson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
15/18 saves · 3 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
41/43 saves · 2 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.