Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 34-18-4
5–4
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 35-17-3
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
41001016526
TBL
2101915424
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Golden Knights lead the season series 1–0
VGK 34-18-4 · TBL 35-17-3 · First meeting this season — the Golden Knights lead the season series 1–0
Golden Knights beat the Lightning
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.9 expected goals); the Golden Knights won 5–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.9, on 26 and 24 shots on goal.
VGK 2.8 xG · 26 shots
TBL 2.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.5 · 0.9
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vladislav Namestnikov · 1st 06:10 · 0–1 · slap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Brett Howden · 1st 06:17 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Steven Stamkos · 1st 06:57 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 08:17 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Shea Theodore · 1st 14:20 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 17:46 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
7
Corey Perry · 2nd 04:29 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Nicolas Roy · 3rd 18:51 · 5–3 · slap shot, into an empty net
9
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · 3rd 19:49 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 49.
VGK 49%TBL 51%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vladislav Namestnikov · 1st 06:10 · 0–1
Slap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Brett Howden · 1st 06:17 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Steven Stamkos · 1st 06:57 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 08:17 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Shea Theodore · 1st 14:20 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 17:46 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
7
Corey Perry · 2nd 04:29 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Nicolas Roy · 3rd 18:51 · EN · GWG · 5–3
Slap shot, into an empty net
9
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · 3rd 19:49 · 5–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.