Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 35-18-5
4–3
Final / OTW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 27-20-12
1ST2ND3RDOTT
VGK
081112911429
CGY
118280101328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
VGK 35-18-5 · CGY 27-20-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Golden Knights beat the Flames
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Golden Knights erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Carrier's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Pietrangelo's goal. Dan Vladar allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 29 and 28 shots on goal.
VGK 2.5 xG · 29 shots
CGY 2.7 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 0.2
OT
0.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 13:25 · 0–1 · bat shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 01:24 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jack Eichel · 2nd 14:27 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 16:34 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Zach Whitecloud · 3rd 05:08 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
William Carrier · 3rd 12:35 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Alex Pietrangelo · OT 00:42 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 47.
VGK 47%CGY 53%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 13:25 · PP · 0–1
Bat shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 01:24 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jack Eichel · 2nd 14:27 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 16:34 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Zach Whitecloud · 3rd 05:08 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
William Carrier · 3rd 12:35 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Alex Pietrangelo · OT 00:42 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.