VGK
3–2
CAR
Final · W
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 36-19-6
3–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 39-12-8
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
0621113320
CAR
0916111226
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Golden Knights lead the season series 1–0
VGK 36-19-6 · CAR 39-12-8 · First meeting this season — the Golden Knights lead the season series 1–0
Golden Knights beat the Hurricanes
Chances were even (1.8 to 1.9 expected goals); the Golden Knights won 3–2. Frederik Andersen allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.8 expected goals to 1.9, on 20 and 26 shots on goal.
VGK 1.8 xG · 20 shots
CAR 1.9 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
0.6 · 0.3
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Eichel · 2nd 05:11 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 13:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jack Eichel · 2nd 18:51 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Jordan Staal · 3rd 12:44 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Reilly Smith · 3rd 16:18 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 48.
VGK 48%CAR 52%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Golden Knights shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Eichel · 2nd 05:11 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 13:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jack Eichel · 2nd 18:51 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Jordan Staal · 3rd 12:44 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Reilly Smith · 3rd 16:18 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
