Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 0-1
1–5
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
081702117
WPG
01427310531
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Golden Knights trail the series 0–1
VGK 0-1 · WPG 1-0 · Game 1 — the Golden Knights trail the series 0–1
Golden Knights fell to the Jets
The Golden Knights were outchanced (2.7 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 1–5. Laurent Brossoit allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.9, on 31 and 17 shots on goal.
VGK 1.9 xG · 17 shots
WPG 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.2
2nd
0.8 · 0.5
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Connor · 2nd 01:24 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 2nd 02:26 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
William Karlsson · 2nd 15:49 · 1–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Blake Wheeler · 3rd 03:53 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Adam Lowry · 3rd 18:39 · 1–4 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
6
Adam Lowry · 3rd 19:41 · 1–5 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 36.
VGK 36%WPG 64%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Connor · 2nd 01:24 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 2nd 02:26 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
William Karlsson · 2nd 15:49 · 1–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Blake Wheeler · 3rd 03:53 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Adam Lowry · 3rd 18:39 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
6
Adam Lowry · 3rd 19:41 · PP · 1–5
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3
Ivan Barbashev, Jonathan Marchessault · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
4
Nino Niederreiter, Nate Schmidt · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–3
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
16/17 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.