Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 5-2
1–5
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 5-3
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
04013114131
EDM
41911304536
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
VGK 5-2 · EDM 5-3 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Golden Knights fell to the Oilers
The Golden Knights were outchanced (4.8 to 2.5 expected goals) and lost 1–5. Stuart Skinner stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 2.5, on 36 and 31 shots on goal.
VGK 2.5 xG · 31 shots
EDM 4.8 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
0.5 · 2.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.8
3rd
1.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 02:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Evan Bouchard · 1st 07:01 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Connor McDavid · 1st 11:11 · 0–3 · poke shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 16:17 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 11:43 · 0–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 01:36 · 1–5 · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 20.
VGK 20%EDM 80%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 02:21 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Evan Bouchard · 1st 07:01 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Connor McDavid · 1st 11:11 · SH · 0–3
Poke shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 16:17 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 11:43 · PP · 0–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 01:36 · 1–5
Bat shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 4.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
4/4 saves · 0 GA · 0.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.