VGK
4–3
EDM
Final · W
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 7-3
4–3
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 6-5
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
11131109431
EDM
21508112335
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Golden Knights lead the series 3–2
VGK 7-3 · EDM 6-5 · Game 5 — the Golden Knights lead the series 3–2
Golden Knights beat the Oilers
The Golden Knights were outchanced (4.0 to 3.1 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 3.1, on 35 and 31 shots on goal.
VGK 3.1 xG · 31 shots
EDM 4.0 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.3 · 2.1
2nd
1.0 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 03:02 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Jack Eichel · 1st 03:52 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
3
Zach Hyman · 1st 09:56 · 1–2 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
4
Mark Stone · 2nd 14:05 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
5
Reilly Smith · 2nd 14:34 · 3–2 · bat shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Nicolas Hague · 2nd 15:34 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Connor McDavid · 3rd 02:40 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 36.
VGK 36%EDM 64%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Golden Knights shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 03:02 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Jack Eichel · 1st 03:52 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
3
Zach Hyman · 1st 09:56 · PP · 1–2
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
4
Mark Stone · 2nd 14:05 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
5
Reilly Smith · 2nd 14:34 · PP · 3–2
Bat shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Nicolas Hague · 2nd 15:34 · GWG · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Connor McDavid · 3rd 02:40 · PP · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
1st period
2nd period
6
Jack Eichel, Jonathan Marchessault · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
