Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 10-3
3–2
Final / OTW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 8-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
VGK
150511212324
DAL
191801001228
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the Golden Knights lead the series 2–0
VGK 10-3 · DAL 8-7 · Game 2 — the Golden Knights lead the series 2–0
Golden Knights beat the Stars
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.0 expected goals); the Golden Knights won it in overtime on Stephenson's goal. Adin Hill stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 24 and 28 shots on goal.
VGK 2.7 xG · 24 shots
DAL 3.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
OT
0.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 02:47 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Mark Stone · 1st 10:08 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 09:21 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 17:38 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Chandler Stephenson · OT 01:12 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 46.
VGK 46%DAL 54%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 02:47 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Mark Stone · 1st 10:08 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 09:21 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 17:38 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Chandler Stephenson · OT 01:12 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.