Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 11-5
2–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 10-8
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
11019010229
DAL
113111210434
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Golden Knights lead the series 3–2
VGK 11-5 · DAL 10-8 · Game 5 — the Golden Knights lead the series 3–2
Golden Knights fell to the Stars
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.9 expected goals); the Golden Knights lost 2–4. Adin Hill allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.9, on 29 and 34 shots on goal.
VGK 2.7 xG · 29 shots
DAL 2.9 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 13:36 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Luke Glendening · 1st 15:24 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Chandler Stephenson · 2nd 03:20 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 05:29 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Ty Dellandrea · 3rd 10:35 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Ty Dellandrea · 3rd 12:02 · 2–4 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 47.
VGK 47%DAL 53%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 13:36 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Luke Glendening · 1st 15:24 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Chandler Stephenson · 2nd 03:20 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 05:29 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Ty Dellandrea · 3rd 10:35 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Ty Dellandrea · 3rd 12:02 · 2–4
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.