VGK
5–2
FLA
Final · W
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 13-5
5–2
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 12-5
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
17114313534
FLA
19114012235
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Golden Knights lead the series 1–0
VGK 13-5 · FLA 12-5 · Game 1 — the Golden Knights lead the series 1–0
Golden Knights beat the Panthers
The Golden Knights earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.8, and a 5–2 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.8, on 34 and 35 shots on goal.
VGK 3.8 xG · 34 shots
FLA 2.8 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 1.3
2nd
1.2 · 0.7
3rd
1.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Eric Staal · 1st 09:40 · 0–1 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 17:18 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Shea Theodore · 2nd 10:54 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Anthony Duclair · 2nd 19:49 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Zach Whitecloud · 3rd 06:59 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Mark Stone · 3rd 13:41 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Reilly Smith · 3rd 18:15 · 5–2 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 65.
VGK 65%FLA 35%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Golden Knights shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Eric Staal · 1st 09:40 · SH · 0–1
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 17:18 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Shea Theodore · 2nd 10:54 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Anthony Duclair · 2nd 19:49 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Zach Whitecloud · 3rd 06:59 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Mark Stone · 3rd 13:41 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Reilly Smith · 3rd 18:15 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
