Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 7-0-0
3–2
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 3-2-1
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
1609214329
PHI
2801208228
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Golden Knights lead the season series 1–0
VGK 7-0-0 · PHI 3-2-1 · First meeting this season — the Golden Knights lead the season series 1–0
Golden Knights beat the Flyers
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.3 expected goals); the Golden Knights won 3–2. Theodore's winner came with 0:33 left.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.3, on 29 and 28 shots on goal.
VGK 2.3 xG · 29 shots
PHI 2.3 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 06:54 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Noah Cates · 1st 13:07 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Cam Atkinson · 1st 17:19 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Paul Cotter · 3rd 12:06 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Shea Theodore · 3rd 19:27 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 50.
VGK 50%PHI 50%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 06:54 · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Noah Cates · 1st 13:07 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Cam Atkinson · 1st 17:19 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Paul Cotter · 3rd 12:06 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Shea Theodore · 3rd 19:27 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.