Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 10-0-1
5–2
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 4-4-2
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
1102927526
WPG
05113113231
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Golden Knights lead the season series 2–0
VGK 10-0-1 · WPG 4-4-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Golden Knights lead the season series 2–0
Golden Knights beat the Jets
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.9 expected goals); the Golden Knights won 5–2. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.9, on 26 and 31 shots on goal.
VGK 2.6 xG · 26 shots
WPG 2.9 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.2
2nd
1.3 · 1.8
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Karlsson · 1st 10:45 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Kyle Connor · 2nd 06:17 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 07:00 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 08:38 · 3–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Alex Iafallo · 3rd 01:51 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 05:47 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 17:08 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 44.
VGK 44%WPG 56%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Karlsson · 1st 10:45 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Kyle Connor · 2nd 06:17 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 07:00 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 08:38 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Alex Iafallo · 3rd 01:51 · PP · 3–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 05:47 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 17:08 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.