Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 11-2-1
1–4
FinalL
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 8-2-2
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
01101918138
LAK
09214210433
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
VGK 11-2-1 · LAK 8-2-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Golden Knights fell to the Kings
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.0 expected goals); the Golden Knights lost 1–4. Cam Talbot stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 38 and 33 shots on goal.
VGK 2.7 xG · 38 shots
LAK 3.0 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd
1.5 · 1.6
3rd
0.6 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 11:30 · 0–1 · bat shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Trevor Moore · 2nd 15:58 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 02:42 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
William Karlsson · 3rd 14:33 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Anze Kopitar · 3rd 19:48 · 1–4 · slap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 45.
VGK 45%LAK 55%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 11:30 · 0–1
Bat shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Trevor Moore · 2nd 15:58 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 02:42 · PP · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
William Karlsson · 3rd 14:33 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Anze Kopitar · 3rd 19:48 · EN · 1–4
Slap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.