Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 30-15-6
3–1
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 29-16-1
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
1130825326
EDM
18012011131
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
VGK 30-15-6 · EDM 29-16-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Golden Knights beat the Oilers
The Golden Knights were outchanced (3.5 to 1.5 expected goals) but won 3–1 anyway. Adin Hill stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.5, on 31 and 26 shots on goal.
VGK 1.5 xG · 26 shots
EDM 3.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
3rd
0.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 04:35 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Nicolas Roy · 1st 18:06 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
3
Chandler Stephenson · 3rd 01:24 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
William Karlsson · 3rd 19:27 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 19.
VGK 19%EDM 81%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 04:35 · SH · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Nicolas Roy · 1st 18:06 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
3
Chandler Stephenson · 3rd 01:24 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
William Karlsson · 3rd 19:27 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
3
Jonathan Marchessault, Paul Cotter · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–1
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.