Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 31-16-6
3–5
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 24-23-5
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
26014110330
MIN
21404311529
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Golden Knights trail the season series 0–1
VGK 31-16-6 · MIN 24-23-5 · First meeting this season — the Golden Knights trail the season series 0–1
Golden Knights fell to the Wild
The Golden Knights were outchanced (3.7 to 2.3 expected goals) and lost 3–5. The Wild owned the 1st period, 2.1 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.3, on 29 and 30 shots on goal.
VGK 2.3 xG · 30 shots
MIN 3.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.4 · 2.1
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 00:22 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 10:48 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 12:09 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Michael Amadio · 1st 17:45 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Marco Rossi · 3rd 06:28 · 2–3 · poke shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Matt Boldy · 3rd 07:29 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Mark Stone · 3rd 09:40 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 19:38 · 3–5 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 28.
VGK 28%MIN 72%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 00:22 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 10:48 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 12:09 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Michael Amadio · 1st 17:45 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Marco Rossi · 3rd 06:28 · 2–3
Poke shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Matt Boldy · 3rd 07:29 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Mark Stone · 3rd 09:40 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 19:38 · EN · 3–5
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
6
Ryan Hartman, Brock Faber · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–4
7
Chandler Stephenson, Zach Whitecloud · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3–4
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.