Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 32-18-6
3–5
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 29-25-2
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
1801028326
NSH
211215114540
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
VGK 32-18-6 · NSH 29-25-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Golden Knights fell to the Predators
The Golden Knights were outchanced (3.6 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost 3–5. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 40 and 26 shots on goal.
VGK 2.4 xG · 26 shots
NSH 3.6 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.2 · 1.0
2nd
1.6 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Luke Evangelista · 1st 05:35 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Alex Pietrangelo · 1st 14:09 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Cody Glass · 1st 19:08 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Tommy Novak · 2nd 08:04 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Cole Smith · 2nd 15:58 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (49%)
6
William Karlsson · 3rd 00:47 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Michael Amadio · 3rd 17:01 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
8
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 18:11 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 32.
VGK 32%NSH 68%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Luke Evangelista · 1st 05:35 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Alex Pietrangelo · 1st 14:09 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Cody Glass · 1st 19:08 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Tommy Novak · 2nd 08:04 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Cole Smith · 2nd 15:58 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (49%)
6
William Karlsson · 3rd 00:47 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Michael Amadio · 3rd 17:01 · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
8
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 18:11 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Alec Martinez, Chandler Stephenson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/39 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.