Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 2-1
2–3
Final / OTL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 1-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
VGK
0721001007234
DAL
1181150518346
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Golden Knights lead the series 2–1
VGK 2-1 · DAL 1-2 · Game 3 — the Golden Knights lead the series 2–1
Golden Knights fell to the Stars
The Golden Knights were outchanced (5.1 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Johnston's goal. Logan Thompson stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 5.1 expected goals to 1.8, on 46 and 34 shots on goal.
VGK 1.8 xG · 34 shots
DAL 5.1 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.4 · 1.8
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 2.0
3rd
0.4 · 0.3
OT
0.2 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 11:11 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Miro Heiskanen · 2nd 05:25 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Brayden McNabb · 2nd 10:40 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jack Eichel · 2nd 13:50 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · OT 16:23 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 10.
VGK 10%DAL 90%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 11:11 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Miro Heiskanen · 2nd 05:25 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Brayden McNabb · 2nd 10:40 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jack Eichel · 2nd 13:50 · SH · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · OT 16:23 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
43/46 saves · 3 GA · 5.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.