VGK
2–4
DAL
Final · L
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 2-2
2–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-2
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
11416014234
DAL
1821717432
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
VGK 2-2 · DAL 2-2 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Golden Knights fell to the Stars
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.3 expected goals); the Golden Knights lost 2–4. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.3, on 34 and 32 shots on goal.
VGK 3.1 xG · 34 shots
DAL 3.3 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.9 · 2.5
3rd
1.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Amadio · 1st 14:25 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Evgenii Dadonov · 1st 17:52 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Jack Eichel · 2nd 03:09 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (54%)
4
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 09:45 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Ty Dellandrea · 2nd 18:34 · 2–3 · deflected shot, a great chance (40%)
6
Roope Hintz · 3rd 18:38 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 47.
VGK 47%DAL 53%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Golden Knights shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Amadio · 1st 14:25 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Evgenii Dadonov · 1st 17:52 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Jack Eichel · 2nd 03:09 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (54%)
4
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 09:45 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Ty Dellandrea · 2nd 18:34 · GWG · 2–3
Deflected shot, a great chance (40%)
6
Roope Hintz · 3rd 18:38 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
