VGK
4–2
MIN
Final · W
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 1-0
4–2
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
11215210427
MIN
170716220
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Golden Knights lead the series 1–0
VGK 1-0 · MIN 0-1 · Game 1 — the Golden Knights lead the series 1–0
Golden Knights beat the Wild
The Golden Knights earned it: 2.6 expected goals to 2.0, and a 4–2 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 2.0, on 27 and 20 shots on goal.
VGK 2.6 xG · 27 shots
MIN 2.0 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
1.1 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tomas Hertl · 1st 15:22 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Matt Boldy · 1st 17:42 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 13:33 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Brett Howden · 3rd 02:28 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Matt Boldy · 3rd 11:46 · 3–2 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Brett Howden · 3rd 19:59 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 62.
VGK 62%MIN 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Golden Knights shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tomas Hertl · 1st 15:22 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Matt Boldy · 1st 17:42 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 13:33 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Brett Howden · 3rd 02:28 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Matt Boldy · 3rd 11:46 · 3–2
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Brett Howden · 3rd 19:59 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
