Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 1-1
2–5
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
010111111232
MIN
3101314517
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
VGK 1-1 · MIN 1-1 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Golden Knights fell to the Wild
The Golden Knights created the better chances (2.9 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Adin Hill allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.7, on 32 and 17 shots on goal.
VGK 2.9 xG · 32 shots
MIN 1.7 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.2
3rd
0.9 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 09:56 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Marcus Foligno · 1st 11:35 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 17:15 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 03:59 · 0–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 12:04 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 02:26 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 17:34 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 72.
VGK 72%MIN 28%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 09:56 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Marcus Foligno · 1st 11:35 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 17:15 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 03:59 · 0–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 12:04 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 02:26 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 17:34 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
12/16 saves · 4 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.