Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 4-3
2–4
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 5-2
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
2100106217
EDM
11001236428
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Golden Knights trail the series 0–1
VGK 4-3 · EDM 5-2 · Game 1 — the Golden Knights trail the series 0–1
Golden Knights fell to the Oilers
The Golden Knights let a 2–0 lead get away: the Oilers came back with four unanswered goals — Draisaitl's equalizer — and won 2–4. Adin Hill allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.5, on 28 and 17 shots on goal.
VGK 2.5 xG · 17 shots
EDM 3.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
3rd
1.3 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Stone · 1st 02:13 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Mark Stone · 1st 09:03 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Corey Perry · 1st 16:26 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 00:57 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Zach Hyman · 3rd 16:58 · 2–3 · snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Connor Brown · 3rd 18:14 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 41.
VGK 41%EDM 59%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Stone · 1st 02:13 · PP · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Mark Stone · 1st 09:03 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Corey Perry · 1st 16:26 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 00:57 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Zach Hyman · 3rd 16:58 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Connor Brown · 3rd 18:14 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
5
Evander Kane, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.