Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 4-4
4–5
Final / OTL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 6-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
VGK
161102907432
EDM
06311110110537
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the Golden Knights trail the series 0–2
VGK 4-4 · EDM 6-2 · Game 2 — the Golden Knights trail the series 0–2
Golden Knights fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (3.9 to 4.1 expected goals); the Golden Knights lost it in overtime on Draisaitl's goal. The Oilers owned the overtime, 1.7 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.9 expected goals to 4.1, on 32 and 37 shots on goal.
VGK 3.9 xG · 32 shots
EDM 4.1 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
1.9 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
OT · the swing
0.4 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Victor Olofsson · 1st 08:42 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Jake Walman · 2nd 11:31 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Vasily Podkolzin · 2nd 15:18 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 17:17 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
William Karlsson · 2nd 18:10 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Evander Kane · 3rd 01:52 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 04:32 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Alex Pietrangelo · 3rd 11:58 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Leon Draisaitl · OT 15:20 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 46.
VGK 46%EDM 54%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Victor Olofsson · 1st 08:42 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Jake Walman · 2nd 11:31 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Vasily Podkolzin · 2nd 15:18 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 17:17 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
William Karlsson · 2nd 18:10 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Evander Kane · 3rd 01:52 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 04:32 · PP · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Alex Pietrangelo · 3rd 11:58 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Leon Draisaitl · OT 15:20 · GWG · 4–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
2
Vasily Podkolzin, Viktor Arvidsson · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.