Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 32-26-15
3–4
Final / OTL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 36-28-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
VGK
082101704329
EDM
182901012429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Golden Knights trail the season series 0–3
VGK 32-26-15 · EDM 36-28-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Golden Knights trail the season series 0–3
Golden Knights fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.6 expected goals); the Golden Knights lost it in overtime on Bouchard's goal. Adin Hill allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.6, on 29 and 29 shots on goal.
VGK 2.9 xG · 29 shots
EDM 2.6 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.2
2nd
1.6 · 0.9
3rd
0.5 · 0.4
OT
0.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Savoie · 1st 11:52 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mark Stone · 2nd 04:09 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
3
Connor McDavid · 2nd 07:27 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mark Stone · 2nd 14:51 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (37%)
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 16:42 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 06:21 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
7
Evan Bouchard · OT 03:10 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 55.
VGK 55%EDM 45%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Savoie · 1st 11:52 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mark Stone · 2nd 04:09 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
3
Connor McDavid · 2nd 07:27 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mark Stone · 2nd 14:51 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (37%)
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 16:42 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 06:21 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
7
Evan Bouchard · OT 03:10 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:07
Rasmus Andersson· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
07:59
Cole Smith· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
07:59
Connor Murphy· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:56
Shea Theodore· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:13
Evan Bouchard· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Jason Dickinson· Boarding
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Jeremy Lauzon· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Brett Howden· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Darnell Nurse· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:55
Zach Hyman· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:02
Zach Hyman· Holding
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Golden Knights went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Oilers power plays.