VGK
5–4
UTA
Final / OT · W
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 3-2
5–4
Final / OTW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 2-3
1ST2ND3RDOT2OTT
VGK
17291901310538
UTA
171921001200438
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Golden Knights lead the series 3–2
VGK 3-2 · UTA 2-3 · Game 5 — the Golden Knights lead the series 3–2
Golden Knights beat the Mammoth
Chances were even (4.3 to 3.8 expected goals); the Golden Knights won it in overtime on Howden's goal. Karel Vejmelka allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.3 expected goals to 3.8, on 38 and 38 shots on goal.
VGK 4.3 xG · 38 shots
UTA 3.8 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 1.1
OT
1.2 · 1.1
2OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Marino · 1st 17:11 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 19:19 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 10:40 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 15:37 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Shea Theodore · 2nd 17:17 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 05:54 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Michael Carcone · 3rd 12:42 · 3–4 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Pavel Dorofeyev · 3rd 19:07 · 4–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
9
Brett Howden · 2OT 05:28 · 5–4 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 56.
VGK 56%UTA 44%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Golden Knights shoot this way
Mammoth shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Marino · 1st 17:11 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 19:19 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 10:40 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 15:37 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Shea Theodore · 2nd 17:17 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 05:54 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Michael Carcone · 3rd 12:42 · 3–4
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Pavel Dorofeyev · 3rd 19:07 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
9
Brett Howden · 2OT 05:28 · SH · GWG · 5–4
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
2nd overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/38 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
