Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 7-4
3–2
Final / OTW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 6-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
VGK
1110611015332
ANA
1901711000236
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Golden Knights lead the series 3–2
VGK 7-4 · ANA 6-5 · Game 5 — the Golden Knights lead the series 3–2
Golden Knights beat the Ducks
The Golden Knights earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 1.7, and they won it in overtime on Dorofeyev's goal. Lukas Dostal stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.7, on 32 and 36 shots on goal.
VGK 3.6 xG · 32 shots
ANA 1.7 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
2nd
0.4 · 0.6
3rd
1.0 · 0.4
OT
0.7 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Beckett Sennecke · 1st 12:36 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
2
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 16:13 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 04:48 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (63%)
4
Olen Zellweger · 3rd 16:55 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Pavel Dorofeyev · OT 04:10 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (58%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 79.
VGK 79%ANA 21%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 3 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Beckett Sennecke · 1st 12:36 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
2
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 16:13 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 04:48 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (63%)
4
Olen Zellweger · 3rd 16:55 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Pavel Dorofeyev · OT 04:10 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (58%)
1st period
PEN
5 min
Major
09:00
Brayden McNabb· Interference
Sennecke scored on this power play
Major
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
09:00
Brayden McNabb· Game
Misconduct
1
Cutter Gauthier, Mason McTavish · Power play (McNabb, interference) · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:39
Pavel Mintyukov· Slashing
Dorofeyev scored on this power play
Minor
2
Tomas Hertl, Jack Eichel · Power play (Mintyukov, slashing) · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
1–1
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
Goaltending
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Golden Knights went 1-for-1 on the power play and allowed 1 on 1 Ducks power play.