Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 11-4
5–3
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 8-4
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
073828523
COL
31601207335
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Golden Knights lead the series 3–0
VGK 11-4 · COL 8-4 · Game 3 — the Golden Knights lead the series 3–0
Golden Knights beat the Avalanche
Down 0–3 in the 1st period, the Golden Knights erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Kolesar's equalizer — and won 5–3. Carter Hart stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.9, on 23 and 35 shots on goal.
VGK 3.4 xG · 23 shots
COL 3.9 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.3 · 2.1
2nd
1.8 · 1.2
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gabriel Landeskog · 1st 03:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 07:03 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jack Drury · 1st 13:15 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Mark Stone · 2nd 00:19 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
William Karlsson · 2nd 04:05 · 2–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (59%)
6
Keegan Kolesar · 2nd 12:46 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 08:21 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Brett Howden · 3rd 19:01 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 43.
VGK 43%COL 57%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gabriel Landeskog · 1st 03:21 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 07:03 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jack Drury · 1st 13:15 · SH · 0–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Mark Stone · 2nd 00:19 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
William Karlsson · 2nd 04:05 · 2–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (59%)
6
Keegan Kolesar · 2nd 12:46 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 08:21 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Brett Howden · 3rd 19:01 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:31
Cole Smith· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:28
Nazem Kadri· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:09
Rasmus Andersson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:19
Brock Nelson· Tripping
Stone scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:28
Brent Burns· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:03
Cole Smith· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:14
Mark Stone· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:14
Ross Colton· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:54
Mitch Marner· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
19:20
Ross Colton· Misconduct
Misconduct
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Golden Knights went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 4 Avalanche power plays.