VGK
5–4
CAR
Final / OT · W
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 14-5
5–4
Final / OTW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 13-3
1ST2ND3RDOT2OTT
VGK
02414090713535
CAR
07054130602433
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Golden Knights lead the series 2–1
VGK 14-5 · CAR 13-3 · Game 3 — the Golden Knights lead the series 2–1
Golden Knights beat the Hurricanes
The Golden Knights were outchanced (4.2 to 3.6 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Theodore's goal anyway. Frederik Andersen allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.6, on 33 and 35 shots on goal.
VGK 3.6 xG · 35 shots
CAR 4.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.2 · 0.6
2nd
2.6 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 2.5
OT
0.4 · 0.5
2OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 10:26 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 10:42 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 14:32 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (38%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 16:52 · 4–0 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 07:03 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Taylor Hall · 3rd 07:29 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Staal · 3rd 07:42 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 18:18 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (62%)
9
Shea Theodore · 2OT 05:38 · 5–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 42.
VGK 42%CAR 58%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 5 penalties← Golden Knights shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 10:26 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 10:42 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 14:32 · 3–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (38%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 16:52 · 4–0
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 07:03 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Taylor Hall · 3rd 07:29 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Staal · 3rd 07:42 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 18:18 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (62%)
9
Shea Theodore · 2OT 05:38 · GWG · 5–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
10:16
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Hertl scored on this power play
Bench minor
1
Jack Eichel, Mitch Marner · Power play (too many men on the ice) · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1–0
2
William Karlsson, Shea Theodore · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–0
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:15
Cole Smith· Holding the stick
Cole Smith· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
04:04
Sebastian Aho· Ps slash on breakaway
Sebastian Aho· Ps slash on breakaway
Penalty shot
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:07
Seth Jarvis· Delaying game puck over glass
Seth Jarvis· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:05
Shea Theodore· Delaying game puck over glass
Shea Theodore· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
2nd overtime
Goaltending
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 4.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/19 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Golden Knights went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Hurricanes power plays.