VGK
3–5
CAR
Final · L
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 14-6
3–5
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 14-3
1ST2ND3RDT
VGK
162609321
CAR
3140925528
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
VGK 14-6 · CAR 14-3 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Golden Knights fell to the Hurricanes
The Golden Knights were outchanced (2.4 to 1.6 expected goals) and lost 3–5. Carter Hart allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.6, on 28 and 21 shots on goal.
VGK 1.6 xG · 21 shots
CAR 2.4 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 1.2
2nd
0.4 · 0.6
3rd
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan Stankoven · 1st 01:06 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jackson Blake · 1st 03:28 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Mark Stone · 1st 07:22 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jordan Staal · 1st 12:48 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
5
William Karlsson · 2nd 04:22 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Brett Howden · 2nd 17:08 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Staal · 3rd 06:32 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a great chance (25%)
8
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 19:05 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Golden Knights win 36.
VGK 36%CAR 64%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 8 penalties← Golden Knights shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan Stankoven · 1st 01:06 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jackson Blake · 1st 03:28 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Mark Stone · 1st 07:22 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jordan Staal · 1st 12:48 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
5
William Karlsson · 2nd 04:22 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Brett Howden · 2nd 17:08 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Staal · 3rd 06:32 · GWG · 3–4
Backhand shot, a great chance (25%)
8
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 19:05 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:24
Shea Theodore· Tripping
Shea Theodore· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
12:27
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Staal scored on this power play
Bench minor
4
Shayne Gostisbehere, Sebastian Aho · Power play (too many men on the ice) · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
1–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:32
Taylor Hall· Slashing
Taylor Hall· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:30
Nic Dowd· Cross-checking
Nic Dowd· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Jordan Martinook· Interference
Jordan Martinook· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:30
Brayden McNabb· Cross-checking
Brayden McNabb· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:30
Jackson Blake· Interference goalkeeper
Jackson Blake· Interference goalkeeper
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:42
K'Andre Miller· Tripping
K'Andre Miller· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Golden Knights went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Hurricanes power plays.