WSH
6–1
FLA
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 2-1
6–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 1-2
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
11127313631
FLA
1901308130
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Capitals lead the series 2–1
WSH 2-1 · FLA 1-2 · Game 3 — the Capitals lead the series 2–1
Capitals beat the Panthers
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.6 expected goals); the Capitals won 6–1. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 31 and 30 shots on goal.
WSH 2.8 xG · 31 shots
FLA 2.6 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
0.7 · 1.2
3rd
1.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 02:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
T.J. Oshie · 1st 19:34 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Marcus Johansson · 2nd 09:51 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Trevor van Riemsdyk · 2nd 18:49 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 10:25 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
John Carlson · 3rd 15:40 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 19:18 · 6–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 53.
WSH 53%FLA 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 02:45 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
T.J. Oshie · 1st 19:34 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Marcus Johansson · 2nd 09:51 · GWG · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Trevor van Riemsdyk · 2nd 18:49 · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 10:25 · PP · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
John Carlson · 3rd 15:40 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 19:18 · 6–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Marcus Johansson, Nicklas Backstrom · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
