WSH
3–4
FLA
Final / OT · L
Washington Capitals
WSH · 2-4
3–4
Final / OTL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 4-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
WSH
0131921302337
FLA
081142712431
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Capitals trail the series 2–4
WSH 2-4 · FLA 4-2 · Game 6 — the Capitals trail the series 2–4
Capitals fell to the Panthers
The Capitals created the better chances (4.1 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Verhaeghe's goal. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 37 and 31 shots on goal.
WSH 4.1 xG · 37 shots
FLA 2.3 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
1.2 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.5
OT
0.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nic Dowd · 2nd 03:44 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (41%)
2
Ryan Lomberg · 2nd 06:13 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
3
Nicklas Backstrom · 3rd 01:37 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Claude Giroux · 3rd 08:18 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 14:17 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
T.J. Oshie · 3rd 18:57 · 3–3 · deflected shot, a great chance (67%)
7
Carter Verhaeghe · OT 02:46 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 75.
WSH 75%FLA 25%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nic Dowd · 2nd 03:44 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (41%)
2
Ryan Lomberg · 2nd 06:13 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
3
Nicklas Backstrom · 3rd 01:37 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Claude Giroux · 3rd 08:18 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 14:17 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
T.J. Oshie · 3rd 18:57 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Deflected shot, a great chance (67%)
7
Carter Verhaeghe · OT 02:46 · GWG · 3–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
