WSH
5–4
EDM
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 6-6-2
5–4
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 7-6-0
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
11031417531
EDM
0926214429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
WSH 6-6-2 · EDM 7-6-0 · First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
Capitals beat the Oilers
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.0 expected goals); the Capitals won 5–4. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.0, on 31 and 29 shots on goal.
WSH 3.1 xG · 31 shots
EDM 3.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
1.6 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Strome · 1st 18:15 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Strome · 2nd 00:26 · 2–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Connor McDavid · 2nd 08:33 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 12:25 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 14:10 · 3–2 · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 14:36 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 02:54 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 3rd 18:09 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 18:54 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 52.
WSH 52%EDM 48%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Strome · 1st 18:15 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Strome · 2nd 00:26 · PP · 2–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Connor McDavid · 2nd 08:33 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 12:25 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 14:10 · 3–2
Bat shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 14:36 · PP · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 02:54 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 3rd 18:09 · PP · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 18:54 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
6
Erik Gustafsson, Evgeny Kuznetsov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
