Washington Capitals
WSH · 8-10-3
3–2
Final / OTW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 7-8-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
WSH
1100141612332
PHI
110150800223
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
WSH 8-10-3 · PHI 7-8-5 · First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
Capitals beat the Flyers
The Capitals earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 1.8, and they won it in overtime on Ovechkin's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 1.8, on 32 and 23 shots on goal.
WSH 3.4 xG · 32 shots
PHI 1.8 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
OT
0.4 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Frost · 1st 05:27 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Marcus Johansson · 1st 11:05 · 1–1 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
3
· 2nd 14:33 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
4
· 3rd 17:02 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · OT 01:04 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 75.
WSH 75%PHI 25%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Frost · 1st 05:27 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Marcus Johansson · 1st 11:05 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
3
· 2nd 14:33 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
4
· 3rd 17:02 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · OT 01:04 · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.