Washington Capitals
WSH · 9-10-3
3–0
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 9-8-3
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
1611316325
CGY
01506011032
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
WSH 9-10-3 · CGY 9-8-3 · First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
Capitals beat the Flames
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.3 expected goals); the Capitals won 3–0. Darcy Kuemper stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.3, on 25 and 32 shots on goal.
WSH 2.7 xG · 25 shots
CGY 2.3 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd
1.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
T.J. Oshie · 1st 07:56 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 16:37 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 12:24 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 57.
WSH 57%CGY 43%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
T.J. Oshie · 1st 07:56 · GWG · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 16:37 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 12:24 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/32 saves · 0 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.