Washington Capitals
WSH · 19-13-4
4–1
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 21-12-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
11011027427
WPG
0703116126
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–0
WSH 19-13-4 · WPG 21-12-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–0
Capitals beat the Jets
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.7 expected goals); the Capitals won 4–1. Charlie Lindgren stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 27 and 26 shots on goal.
WSH 2.6 xG · 27 shots
WPG 2.7 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 18:22 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 12:46 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Nic Dowd · 3rd 03:49 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 09:59 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 19:00 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 47.
WSH 47%WPG 53%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 18:22 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 12:46 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Nic Dowd · 3rd 03:49 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 09:59 · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.