Washington Capitals
WSH · 26-19-6
3–2
Final / SOW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 24-15-9
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
WSH
12201217041345
PIT
0711818040237
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WSH 26-19-6 · PIT 24-15-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Capitals beat the Penguins
The Capitals earned it: 4.3 expected goals to 2.0, and they won it in a shootout. Casey DeSmith stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.0, on 45 and 37 shots on goal.
WSH 4.3 xG · 45 shots
PIT 2.0 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.2 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 0.4
OT
0.7 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 06:00 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Danton Heinen · 2nd 02:37 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Marcus Johansson · 3rd 05:17 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Bryan Rust · 3rd 12:52 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 82.
WSH 82%PIT 18%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 06:00 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Danton Heinen · 2nd 02:37 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Marcus Johansson · 3rd 05:17 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Bryan Rust · 3rd 12:52 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Capitals
Goaltending
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
43/45 saves · 2 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.