Washington Capitals
WSH · 28-22-6
2–3
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 35-10-8
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
110113013236
CAR
1521609330
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–2
WSH 28-22-6 · CAR 35-10-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–2
Capitals fell to the Hurricanes
The Capitals created the better chances (3.6 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Frederik Andersen stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 36 and 30 shots on goal.
WSH 3.6 xG · 36 shots
CAR 2.7 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.4 · 1.3
3rd
1.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brent Burns · 1st 15:00 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
T.J. Oshie · 1st 19:02 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Paul Stastny · 2nd 02:33 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Joe Snively · 2nd 06:23 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 11:38 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 63.
WSH 63%CAR 37%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brent Burns · 1st 15:00 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
T.J. Oshie · 1st 19:02 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Paul Stastny · 2nd 02:33 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Joe Snively · 2nd 06:23 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 11:38 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3
Calvin de Haan, Stefan Noesen · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.