WSH
3–6
FLA
Final · L
Washington Capitals
WSH · 28-23-6
3–6
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 28-24-6
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
06112214332
FLA
11032026636
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–2
WSH 28-23-6 · FLA 28-24-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–2
Capitals fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.4 expected goals); the Capitals lost 3–6. Darcy Kuemper allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 32 and 36 shots on goal.
WSH 2.9 xG · 32 shots
FLA 2.4 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gustav Forsling · 1st 09:10 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Marc Staal · 2nd 01:32 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Colin White · 2nd 07:20 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Dylan Strome · 2nd 15:51 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 17:03 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nicklas Backstrom · 3rd 13:04 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 3rd 17:28 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Anton Lundell · 3rd 18:39 · 3–5 · backhand shot, into an empty net
9
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:45 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 58.
WSH 58%FLA 42%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gustav Forsling · 1st 09:10 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Marc Staal · 2nd 01:32 · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Colin White · 2nd 07:20 · 0–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Dylan Strome · 2nd 15:51 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 17:03 · GWG · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nicklas Backstrom · 3rd 13:04 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 3rd 17:28 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Anton Lundell · 3rd 18:39 · EN · 3–5
Backhand shot, into an empty net
9
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:45 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Eetu Luostarinen, Carter Verhaeghe · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
