Washington Capitals
WSH · 28-25-6
1–3
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 27-21-8
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
1606015127
DET
2801314325
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
WSH 28-25-6 · DET 27-21-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
Capitals fell to the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.6 expected goals); the Capitals lost 1–3. Ville Husso stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.6, on 27 and 25 shots on goal.
WSH 2.9 xG · 27 shots
DET 2.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Robert Hagg · 1st 10:16 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Pius Suter · 1st 14:22 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Tom Wilson · 1st 15:57 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Pius Suter · 3rd 06:24 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 55.
WSH 55%DET 45%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Robert Hagg · 1st 10:16 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Pius Suter · 1st 14:22 · SH · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Tom Wilson · 1st 15:57 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Pius Suter · 3rd 06:24 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
3
Erik Gustafsson, Nicklas Backstrom · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–2
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.