Washington Capitals
WSH · 31-28-7
2–3
Final / SOL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 42-16-6
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
WSH
171704040222
NJD
09216014011340
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
WSH 31-28-7 · NJD 42-16-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
Capitals fell to the Devils
The Capitals were outchanced (3.9 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost it in a shootout. Darcy Kuemper stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 40 and 22 shots on goal.
WSH 1.9 xG · 22 shots
NJD 3.9 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.2 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
OT
0.6 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Trevor van Riemsdyk · 1st 19:50 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Erik Haula · 2nd 06:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 07:32 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Dylan Strome · 2nd 09:50 · 2–2 · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 20.
WSH 20%NJD 80%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Trevor van Riemsdyk · 1st 19:50 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Erik Haula · 2nd 06:55 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 07:32 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Dylan Strome · 2nd 09:50 · 2–2
Bat shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Devils
Goaltending
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.