WSH
5–4
BUF
Final / SO · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 33-29-7
5–4
Final / SOW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 33-28-6
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
WSH
18010319021539
BUF
360919030427
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
WSH 33-29-7 · BUF 33-28-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
Capitals beat the Sabres
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Capitals erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Wilson's equalizer with 1:08 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.3, on 39 and 27 shots on goal.
WSH 3.2 xG · 39 shots
BUF 3.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.8
OT
0.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ilya Lyubushkin · 1st 04:43 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
JJ Peterka · 1st 08:50 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
3
T.J. Oshie · 1st 10:03 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Tyson Jost · 1st 18:06 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 3rd 01:32 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Zemgus Girgensons · 3rd 05:22 · 2–4 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
7
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 10:30 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Tom Wilson · 3rd 18:52 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 48.
WSH 48%BUF 52%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ilya Lyubushkin · 1st 04:43 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
JJ Peterka · 1st 08:50 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
3
T.J. Oshie · 1st 10:03 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Tyson Jost · 1st 18:06 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 3rd 01:32 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Zemgus Girgensons · 3rd 05:22 · 2–4
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
7
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 10:30 · 3–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Tom Wilson · 3rd 18:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
7
Trevor van Riemsdyk, Dylan Strome · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–4
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Capitals
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/39 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
