WSH
2–4
FLA
Final · L
Washington Capitals
WSH · 34-36-9
2–4
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 42-31-7
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
0721403224
FLA
01029218437
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–3
WSH 34-36-9 · FLA 42-31-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–3
Capitals fell to the Panthers
The Capitals were outchanced (3.9 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 2–4. Tkachuk's winner came with 1:00 left. The Panthers owned the 3rd period, 1.8 to 0.1 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.2, on 37 and 24 shots on goal.
WSH 2.2 xG · 24 shots
FLA 3.9 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 0.8
2nd
1.7 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.1 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Strome · 2nd 08:51 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 10:56 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 13:47 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
4
Tom Wilson · 2nd 16:05 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:00 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:20 · 2–4 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 24.
WSH 24%FLA 76%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Strome · 2nd 08:51 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 10:56 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 13:47 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
4
Tom Wilson · 2nd 16:05 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:00 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:20 · EN · 2–4
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
2
Brandon Montour, Aleksander Barkov · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
5
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
