Washington Capitals
WSH · 1-3-1
1–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 4-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
01711308138
TOR
153903417
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
WSH 1-3-1 · TOR 4-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
Capitals fell to the Maple Leafs
The Capitals created the better chances (3.7 to 1.9 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Joseph Woll stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 1.9, on 38 and 17 shots on goal.
WSH 3.7 xG · 38 shots
TOR 1.9 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
2nd
1.9 · 1.1
3rd
0.6 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Rielly · 1st 12:53 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
John Tavares · 2nd 05:41 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 2nd 06:29 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 15:07 · 0–4 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 19:49 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 79.
WSH 79%TOR 21%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Rielly · 1st 12:53 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
John Tavares · 2nd 05:41 · GWG · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 2nd 06:29 · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 15:07 · PP · 0–4
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 19:49 · PP · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
13/17 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.